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Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight is the authoritative source for sports analytics, covering By Josh Hermsmeyer. Filed under NFL · SciChat_×3. Jun. 29,


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FiveThirtyEight's NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances 2, , at PM. NFL Predictions.


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NFL Predictions. Wednesday, January 29, It's another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. Click the button.


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FiveThirtyEight's NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances 2, , at PM. NFL Predictions.


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Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight is the authoritative source for sports analytics, covering By Josh Hermsmeyer. Filed under NFL · SciChat_×3. Jun. 29,


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Jan. 2, , at PM The NFL playoffs are finally here, and we're ready for the games to kick off. Looking ahead These are the games in which Elo made its best — and worst — predictions against the field last week.


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Can you outsmart our NFL picks? 2, , at PM Our NFL forecasts are based on a simple algorithm called Elo ratings, which use.


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If you entered, you can find yourself on our leaderboard here. QB Elo defense.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} Schedule strength. As a result, Elo considers Garoppolo to be 27 rating points worse than an average starter. Still, plenty of readers did well. Offense vs. QB Elo defense 7th All Videos YouTube. Overall, Jimmy G. Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. The Chiefs are the superior team on paper, coming into the game ranked first in Elo by a healthy margin. We can only hope the game itself proves to be just as legendary. You can make picks now and try your luck against Elo in the Super Bowl, even if you missed Week Check out our latest NFL predictions. Including the playoffs. Neil Paine is a senior writer for FiveThirtyEight. As a weekly tradition here at FiveThirtyEight, we look at how our Elo model did against everybody who made picks in our forecasting game. The 49ers are in the same spot, and Elo favors K. The Chiefs have the best EPA passing attack in the league … but the 49ers have the second-best passing defense to potentially neutralize it. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}Jimmy Garoppolo. Passing vs. Legendary barbecue vs. The last time games were played, Elo beat the field in both contests, winning by an average overall margin of This happened despite the fact that the average reader prediction was as or more confident in each winner than Elo was.